Trump Admin - Did I Give Them Too Much Credit?
Was it overestimation in the statistical sense or just plain blindness? Let's examine what I thought and draw some parallels based on what has unfolded until now. On March 30th, 2025, I wrote a piece ( Trump's Economic Plan ) questioning whether or not Trump's economic plan was bravery or a brave gamble. Fair to say, about two years in, it is looking like a gamble (at least from the perspective of debt markets). It was obvious in the early days of 2025 that Trump 2.0 was going to be disruptive, with an agenda that sought to put America on the map based on a strategy of America against the rest of the world (China, if you want another synonym) looking at manufacturing. At the time, I, like most people, could not guess rightly what the Trump admin was up to next, given they were flaunting ideas of annexing Greenland and Canada. And just like that, 5 days after I posted, Trump announced his "April 2nd Trump Tariffs," compounding the already brewing confusion in my ...